Uttar Pradesh seems to be getting frustrated in the preparation of a grand alliance against the BJP for the 2019 elections . Due to the silence of Mayawati + after the victory in the byelections of Kairana and Noorpur, many types of Khusufsahats have started in the corridor of politics. This silence is being taken as a strategy for Mayawati ‘s pressure, whose direct connection is associated with seat sharing with the colleagues on becoming a coalition.
On one hand, the Samajwadi Party celebrated a huge celebration on the results of bye-elections, but Mayawati has remained silent on the defeat of the BJP till now. While it is well known that in the victory, the base of the BSP’s Dalit Voters has played an important role. Sources in the BSP say that this is a silent tactic and it is a sign that 40 seats for the BSP in the 80 Lok Sabha seats of the UPA will be left out. On condition of anonymity, the sources said that Mayawati had recently disclosed this game plan to party workers in front of her.
Addressing his party workers in Lucknow last week, Mayawati had said that if the BSP did not get respectable seats, she could also decide to contest the elections alone. Despite the victory of three bye-elections in Gorakhpur, Phulpur and Noorpur, with the help of the BSP, the Samajwadi Party is not in a hurry to talk about seat sharing. When Akhilesh Yadav + was asked for answer on Mayawati’s ‘honorable formula’, he had said that ‘you know that we are ahead in respect and who will not respect you, you know this too.’
According to the formula presented earlier, the Samajwadi Party and the BSP were talking about giving candidates to those seats where their candidates were in the second position in the 2014 elections. In this formula, in the SP campus, according to the 10-seat plus-minus, 31 seats were seen, while the equation for the BSP was fitting on 34 seats. To get the victory of Karaana in the entire state, it is a matter of adding Congress and RLD in this Maha coalition but Mayawati’s demand for more seats can create problems in this equation.
On the demand of more BSP seats, the argument is that among the potential partners of the alliance, his party’s vote can be transferred to any coalition party more efficiently. Though the SP is also considered to be a strong grip on the Muslim voters with Yadav voters, but there is a danger in the politics house that Akhilesh can transfer his voters to other parties. Party sources said that the BSP can demand nearly half of the total seats. This demand is based on the vote share of the party and second place in 2014.
According to sources, in every Assembly constituency, the BSP can easily transfer at least 5000 votes to its allies. What will be the future of the possible coalition of Congress and BSP in Madhya Pradesh later this year, it will also be decided by the UP seat sharing formula. According to the formula of second-position seats in 2014, the Congress seems to be getting only 8 seats in this equation. 2 on whom Congress has won and 6 seats for which the party is in second place in the 2014 elections.
Congress sources also say that the seat sharing formula in Madhya Pradesh will be decided only on the basis of UP. A member of the BSP has indicated that if Mayawati comes with Congress in Madhya Pradesh, then the 230-member assembly will not compromise on less than 40 or 50 seats.