For the last time for Gorakhpur and Phulpur, the alliance of SP-BSP was in an incompetent manner. CM Yogi Adityanath ‘s Gorakhpur and Deputy Chief Minister Keshav Prasad Maurya won the last time, this time the SP-BSP took away from BJP. This is the first time when SP-BSP has won in Gorakhpur, BJP’s Jatha for 27 years. First came the results of Phulpur. Here Nagendra Pratap Singh Patel of SP won At the same time, Praveen Nishad of SP won also in Gorakhpur. About 12% less voting was held in the last two seats. After the defeat, CM Yogi Adityanath said, “This is the decision of the masses, we all should believe in it. We have lost lot of self-confidence and due to political bargaining of SP-BSP in the last time.”
By which vote won?
Phulpur : Nagendra Pratap Singh Patel of SP got 3,42,796 votes and BJP’s Kuslendra Singh Patel got 2,83,183 votes. Nagendra Patel won by 59,613 votes.
Gorakhpur : Praveen Nishad of SP gets 4,56,513 votes. BJP Candidate Upendra Shukla got 4,34,632 votes. Nishad won 21,881 votes.
1) Who was winning the last eight times in Gorakhpur?
– Candidates of Gorakhnath Math were winning this seat in the last eight elections.
– 27 years after BJP and 27 years after the monastery, it happened when there was no other candidate from the Gorakhnath temple.
– Mahant Avaidyanath won 1989, 1991 and 1996. From the ticket of Hindu Mahasabha in 1989 and twice on the BJP ticket.
– After this, Yogi Adityanath won only five times in 1998, 1999, 2004, 2009 and 2014 Lok Sabha elections.
2) What is different this time in UP?
– After 25 years, SP and BSP came together to stop the BJP in Gorakhpur and Phulpur. Earlier, in 1993, Kashiram and Mulayam Singh had come together and formed the government. Later this Alliance was broken in 1995.
3) Gorakhpur: The SP’s experiment has been worked out, benefited from less voting
– Last time : in 2014, Yogi Adityanath won 5,39,127 votes. The number of votes polled for SP- BSP was 4,02,756. But in 2017, the SP and BSP’s total votes were 72 thousand more than the BJP.
– This time : Before the BSP in Gorakhpur, the SP combine with the Nishad party holding a hold between the 10% Muslim voters and 18% of the Nishad voters. Even Nishad gave the SP ticket to Praveen Nishad, son of the President. After this, the BSP also supported him. The BJP had given ticket to Upendra Dutt Shukla here. For the first time, BJP throws some Brahmin face.
– resultHere, 43% of the voting was done in 2014 compared to 54.6%. That means less BJP voters came out of the houses. Yogi Adityanath admitted that the BJP here lagged behind due to overconfidence.
4) Phulpur: Even with 12% less voting, BJP lost its vote, cast votes in the out-of-the- box battle
– Last time : Keshav Prasad Maurya got 5,03,564 votes in 2014 . For the first time here BJP won After getting votes for SP and BSP candidate from that time, the number was 3,58,966 more than the votes given to Maurya. But in the 2017 assembly elections, the SP and the BSP’s vote was 36 thousand more than the BJP.
– This time : Patel Voters play a decisive role in Fulpur. BJP has been the Mayor of Varanasi, Kaushalendra Singh Patel and the SP gave ticket to Nagendra Singh Patel. After this, there was a fight between the outside and the Patel Patel. Even the BSP did not stand its candidate here.
– result: In Uttar Pradesh, only 38% voting was done compared to 50.2% in 2014. This damaged BJP. BJP chief UP Chief Mahendra Nath Pandey also admitted that voting percentage is the reason for BJP’s defeat.
5) Why were the bye-elections in both the seats?
After becoming the Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh, Yogi Adityanath left the Gorakhpur Lok Sabha seat on September 21, 2017. At the same time, his seat was vacant after becoming the deputy CM of MP Keshav Prasad Maurya from Phulpur.
6) What are the political implications of these results?
- After the BJP’s record victory in the 2017 assembly elections, the shock of those who are telling the Yogi Adityanath the PM candidate is a shock. Now the Yogi will bow in front of Modi-Amit Shah. Candidates’ choice will depend more on the central leadership in the next Lok Sabha elections.
- These are alarm bells for the BJP before the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. If the SP-BSP combines in the entire state and the Congress also comes with them, it would be very difficult to repeat the record victory of 71 seats for the BJP last time.
- If the SP-BSP votes get votes in the 2014 results, then BJP’s seats fall from 71 to 37 and the SP-BSP seats increase to 41 seats. In the case of Congress votes, BJP’s seats fall from 71 to 24 only.
- Taking lessons from UP, non-BJP parties will be united in other states, then the BJP can challenge the Mission 2019.
- In the bye-election, the security of Congress candidates was seized. Apart from the traditional seats of Sonia and Rahul, there is no alternative except to coordinate with BSP-SP in the state.
7) What will be BJP’s strategy?
– Break the SP-BSP coalition before the Lok Sabha elections. The weak link between these two is the BSP. He could not even open an account in the last Lok Sabha election. By showing old files to Mayawati, the BJP can force the BSP to be separated from SP.
What is the status of votes in each round on both seats?
|Round||BJP||SP +||Who forward|
How much was the last vote on the Gorakhpur Lok Sabha seat?
|party||Candidate 2014||Vote share in 2014||Candidate 2018|
|BJP||Yogi Adityanath||51.8%||Upendra Dutt Shukla|
|SP||Ramapati nishad||21.8%||Pravin Nishad|
|Congress||Ashtabhuja Prasad Tripathi||4.4%||Surahita karim|
|BSP||Ram Bhalu Nishad||17%||BSP backs SP, does not nominate candidate|
What is the last vote of Phulpur Lok Sabha seat being shared?
|party||Candidate 2014||Vote share in 2014||Candidate 2018|
|BJP||Keshav Prasad Maurya||52.4%||Kaushender Singh Patel|
|SP||Dharmaraj Singh Patel||20.3%||Nagendra Singh Patel|
|Congress||Mohammad kaif||6.1%||Manish Mishra|
|BSP||Kapil Muni Karwaria||17%||BSP backs SP, does not nominate candidate|